Modeling
Group PI: Scott Doney
The PAL site and its data offer a unique context for building, testing and applying numerical models of marine ecosystem dynamics spanning a wide range of trophic interactions and in a region of substantial natural and anthropogenic climate change. It also provides an important end-member for comparison with other marine ecosystems. The modeling and synthesis component helps integrate the individual field and remote sensing observational efforts, quantifies mechanisms, and develops future
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projections for the response of the WAP ecosystem to climate change. The biological-chemical- physical modeling component will involve a combination of three complementary research tools, pursued in parallel: forward and inverse box models, a generalized vertical 1-D modeling framework and a 3-D regional ocean general circulation model. The box models and 1-D model will be used for data analysis, development of new model components and exploration of specific hypotheses. The 3-D work will build from lessons learned in 0-D and 1-D and will be used to interpret and provide a spatial-temporal context for the field observations and to examine biological-physical signals arising from natural climate variability and climate change.
Team Members
Recent Articles
- Stack, M. (2023, April 30). Assessing the Influence of Storms on Sea Ice, Snow, and Adélie Penguins along the West Antarctic Peninsula. University of Virginia. https://doi.org/10.18130/H7NS-2Q98
- Fennel, K., Mattern, J. P., Doney, S. C., Bopp, L., Moore, A. M., Wang, B., & Yu, L. (2022). Ocean biogeochemical modelling. Nature Reviews Methods Primers, 2(1), 76. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43586-022-00154-2
- Boyd, P. W., Doney, S. C., Eggins, S., Ellwood, M. J., Fourquez, M., Nunn, B. L., et al. (2022). Transitioning global change experiments on Southern Ocean phytoplankton from lab to field settings: Insights and challenges. Limnology and Oceanography, lno.12175. https://doi.org/10.1002/lno.12175
- Kim, H. H., Luo, Y.-W., Ducklow, H. W., Schofield, O. M., Steinberg, D. K., & Doney, S. C. (2021). WAP-1D-VAR v1.0: development and evaluation of a one-dimensional variational data assimilation model for the marine ecosystem along the West Antarctic Peninsula. Geoscientific Model Development, 14(8), 4939–4975. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-4939-2021
- Zaiss, J., Boyd, P. W., Doney, S. C., Havenhand, J. N., & Levine, N. M. (2021). Impact of Lagrangian Sea Surface Temperature Variability on Southern Ocean Phytoplankton Community Growth Rates. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 35(8). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GB006880
- Yang, B., Shadwick, E. H., Schultz, C., & Doney, S. C. (2021). Annual Mixed Layer Carbon Budget for the West Antarctic Peninsula Continental Shelf: Insights From Year‐Round Mooring Measurements. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 126(4). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JC016920
- Schultz, C., Doney, S. C., Hauck, J., Kavanaugh, M. T., & Schofield, O. (2021). Modeling Phytoplankton Blooms and Inorganic Carbon Responses to Sea‐Ice Variability in the West Antarctic Peninsula. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 126(4). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JG006227